Buy high-end items now or wait till after the PvE nerf?

NOTE:
This is based upon the following two ASS-U-ME -(drop e)ption
a. SF nerf and no longer maintainable by ANY A/* class when using any cons combination.
b. 600 is COMPLETELY dead.

Is it better to be buy a High End item now or after the nerf?

Ex. Voltaic Spear R9 sells at 50e(Yeah yeah, you can get more if you sit in Spamadan long enough. We're doing 50e for simplicty.)
Ectos Current Value = 7K (Again, SIMPLICITY!!!)

Buy Today = 50e = 350K gold value

Now, after the nerf, the prices of ectos will go up. Ectos will skyrocket up to 10K(SIMPLICITY!!!! What don't you understand?!?!? ).

1. That would mean that the value of the VS R9 that once sold at 50e, would now sell today at only
350K / 10K = 35e which is still 350K(35e x 10K each)

or

2. The value of the VS R9 would go up and will continue to sell at 50e because getting a VS is much harder than before; no more VSF and no more Slaver's Exile runs by Perma.

Thereby, 50e x 10K = 500K gold value.

So, what will happen? Will #1 happen or #2 happen?

I will be dumb and comment that I don't think farming will die overall, so it won't matter.

I agree, you may not have 5 min runs for a while, but people will find the most efficient builds and the items will be available as they are now.

Buy items when you want the items. Before or after the nerfs.

Or you can just get them yourself since none of the nerfs will prevent you from playing the game.

Not talking about playing the game. Who does that????

Sure, you can still farm, but if there is no more Perma, how will you expect to do a VSF HM run in 3min?

The main point is it will take longer to get a VS compare to 3min or any other rare items like Emerald Blade, Dryad Bow, Storm Daggers, Dhuum's Reaper, mini Dhuum, etc...

How dare game developers make people play a game and earn things. Everything that is expensive in the game should be in your inventory immediately after you create your character.

I would say #2 since items usually have a set price in ectos and the price of ectos have never changed how many ectos an item goes for.

The only item I can see being affected by the nerf is voltaic spears, but like others have mentioned, they have a set price in ectos. So the only thing you need concern yourself about is the price of ectos after the nerf.

altho its possible the ecto price might do down a little, like you speculated on #1, it wont probabily be the equal to 350k, but a value between 350-500k.

Meaning its more like #2

I wondered the same thing for awhile, but I've been trying to sell my r9 VS and I'm thinking about holding out until the nerf to see what happens.

If the nerf slows down or prevents the farming of these chests then you should hold on your rarities.

I think this point has already passed though. People have been aware of the upcoming nerf for a while now (many were expecting it before Christmas).

As such, people will have been holding onto their items already (hoarding ectos etc). you may find that there are sellers asking the equiv of 500k, but there will be more supply than there has been for a couple of months. It will depend on whether those sellers are looking to move items and so how far they will drop to make a sale.

the other side of the equation is that potential buyers wont be finding cash as easy to come by so they might not bite at increased prices...

3 minutes? What the hell is the point of even having GW on your Hard Drive anymore if all you do is do 3 minute runs for virtual shit that gets you ectos, to buy more shit to look better when no one really cares anymore..etc..

most likely number 2 but SF nerf won't affect ectos much . what it's gonna affect the most are armbraces IMO . SF aren't the main farmers of ectos . Sorry, but other professions do it faster . You can do the whole run but idc, i can get more ectos than you.

Once the nerf hits, BAM. All the ectos go out into the market and prices would fall drastically. armbraces on the other hand will not go out because now it's harder to get em without any SF tanks .

Correct me if i'm wrong ?

edit: to add to that point above, you play games to have fun . not to earn money . if you want to earn money . get out, get a life, and get a job . or even if you have one, don't come back until you think you've earned enough . at least IRL money can do something useful unlike IG money.

and chances are, money won't be transferred to gw2 so all your millions, billions of gold would all be useless ..

Rampant speculation pre-nerf is going to cause inflated prices as everyone expects the cost of these things after the nerf to be even higher, and so demand for them before the nerf will rise. Once the nerf is in place, give a week or two for new farming builds to become prevalent, and the prices will plummet, and anyone who bought in the weeks leading up to the nerf will suddenly find their purchases to be worth less than they paid for them.

Anyone with a basic understanding of economics can see that. (So you know, anyone who isn't an overpaid investment banker *cough*)

there will be no change in prices. the prices already changed in anticipation of the nerf.

Ecto prices have all ready went up due to hoarding because of anticipation of the nerf so I don't think there will be that big of an inflation.

No, the inflation's happened. But we'll see prices dropping back to pre-announcement prices. Not at first, due to those who are hoarding them because they don't want to lose out too much on their investment, but there'll eventually be a crash as people realising their pre-nerf panic purchases are dropping in value and it's not going away rush to dump them all before they drop in vlaue further, at which point we'll get an exponential price drop to pre-announcement prices.

come to think of it .. i guess you're right .. time to sell my ectos

Ectos will drop in price, every rare weapon goes up in price, probably too high, then after 3 months its back to normal and new skills used to farm. Then new nerf and rinse/repeat.

I agree with this.

I plan to sell some (not all) of my ectos now while the price is inflated and buy them back after the nerf when all the dust has settled. When was the last time ectos went up in value after a nerf and not before? Exactly. Never.

@OP - #2