It's about risk/reward at this point.
Here's a summary of the items the collectors took over the past 3 holidays:
Halloween 2005: Charr Carvings (3); Ornate Grawl Necklaces (2); Decayed Orr Emblems (3); Glowing Hearts (2); Feathered Caromi Scalps (1); White Mantle Emblems (1); Maguuma Manes (2); Stone Summit Badges (2); Feathered Avicara Scalps (1)
Wintersday 2005: Charr Carvings (3); Ornate Grawl Necklaces (2); Stormy Eyes (2); Singed Gargoyle Skulls (1); Decayed Orr Emblems (3); Shadowy Remnants (1); Feathered Caromi Scalps (2); Hardened Humps (2); Stone Summit Badges (3); Frozen Remnants (1); Frigid Hearts (2); Dredge Manifestos (1)
Halloween 2006: Charr Carvings (3); Ornate Grawl Necklaces (2); Decayed Orr Emblems (3); Glowing Hearts (2); Feathered Caromi Scalps (1); White Mantle Emblems (1); Maguuma Manes (2)
So, what does that mean?
Since Halloween 2006 was just like Halloween 2005, you could presume that the collectors items for Wintersday 2006 will be just like Wintersday 2005.
However, if you really want to hedge your bets, the following items were used in ALL THREE previous holidays, so it's highly likely that they would be used again in Wintersday 2006:
Charr Carvings (3);
Ornate Grawl Necklaces (2);
Decayed Orr Emblems (3);
Feathered Caromi Scalps (1 or 2)
That's where I would focus farming.
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