Curse

MisterB · Jan 05, 2010, 12:39 AM // 00:39

I completed the quest (Strength of Snow) once. Imagine my shock and surprise when no Mini Polar Bear was to be found from the chest. Fortunately, the MPB is just a waste of a storage slot to me, but I obtained plenty of CCS's for the finale. Congrats to any of you who got one, and better luck next year if you did not.

Malice Black · Jan 05, 2010, 12:43 AM // 00:43

Quote:

Originally Posted by Divine Ashes

also, that 200e price drop coincides nicely with the ecto price inflation, so it's really worth about the same :P

Not really. Most items still cost the same as before.

Sir Skullcrasher · Jan 05, 2010, 12:49 AM // 00:49

wonder if the bear will still be around once GW2 is out?

mrmango · Jan 05, 2010, 02:06 AM // 02:06

Heh. Good luck next time fellas.

Dzjudz · Jan 05, 2010, 02:11 AM // 02:11

Quote:

Originally Posted by MisterB

but I obtained plenty of CCS's for the finale.

Anybody with 10 shards had enough for all 9 finales

. I gained about 25 shard doing 7 finales.

MisterB · Jan 05, 2010, 02:28 AM // 02:28

Quote:

Originally Posted by Dzjudz

Anybody with 10 shards had enough for all 9 finales

.

I am aware of that, yes. I have multiple accounts, but one run still sufficed. Maybe I should have saved some since ANet is repeating the finale. Meh.

fenix · Jan 05, 2010, 03:15 AM // 03:15

Oh right, I was under the impression the price had halved.

Still, that many runs for a chance at 1300e? Psh.

Think about it. If you can earn 1.5-2k a minute doing ANY kind of farming, you're making more money than doing runs of Snowman and not getting a polar.

coil · Jan 05, 2010, 03:34 AM // 03:34

in ~500-700 runs no polar bear

BUT

i didnt get hacked (yet). so yay

Reformed · Jan 05, 2010, 03:36 AM // 03:36

Quote:

Originally Posted by fenix

If you can earn 1.5-2k a minute doing ANY kind of farming

Where are you farming? The average, and I'm being very conservative here, is 10-20k an hour. Some of the ripoff artists might be able to hit your 90-120k trading with 12 year olds all day but a real farm run is nowhere near those numbers barring miracle drops.

byteme! · Jan 05, 2010, 04:04 AM // 04:04

Quote:

Originally Posted by fenix

Oh right, I was under the impression the price had halved.

Still, that many runs for a chance at 1300e? Psh.

Think about it. If you can earn 1.5-2k a minute doing ANY kind of farming, you're making more money than doing runs of Snowman and not getting a polar.

I did 60ish runs, got my MPB and stopped. Btw farming sucks. If you can convince me you can make 2k per minute consistently I'm game. That means not relying on the odd weekend events or luck of a random fluke drop. It needs to be practical and realistic. If it ain't reproducible it ain't worth it's weight in gold and you don't know what you're talking about.

Martin Alvito · Jan 05, 2010, 05:16 AM // 05:16

You don't even get 1.5k-2k per minute from Strength of Snow. This is an easy math problem, so let's solve it. I'm making a lot of assumptions here, but this is a good approximation if the estimated wiki drop rate is in the ballpark. The real payout is probably worse, because I'm not considering things like loading time and I'm being very generous in pricing.

Completion: 6 minutes, no cons (10x/hr.)
Return: 4 guaranteed items. Assume Spiked is 300g, Fruitcake is 150g, Summoner is 200g, Wintergreen is 250g. That's 900g.
+/- 15 Candy Cane Shards @ 70g/ea = 1,050g.
Average guaranteed: 1,950g.

Assuming the wiki 1/3000 MPB drop rate and a value of 10,500,000g (1400e @ 7.5k/e): the opportunity to get one is worth 3,500g. Call the other drops worth 250g on average, yielding an expected drop value of 3,750g.

So the farm is 5,700g per run, 57k per hour, or just under 1k/minute.

That's not bad; that would make it the best solo farm going, comparable to the nerfed Vaettir keg run during an event with multiple, desirable event drops. It gets blown out of the water by dungeon running, succeeding at Snowball ATs (semifinals or better, with enough wins to offset the odd quarterfinal loss), and power trading.

But many people are risk averse, and know that in practice they're going to walk away with about 22k per hour. That's not worth your time if you're even remotely skilled.

Carinae · Jan 05, 2010, 07:06 AM // 07:06

You could also do it because:

1) You enjoy the quest
2) Don't really need money
3) Really want a MPB

lilDeath · Jan 05, 2010, 04:19 PM // 16:19

Ok, well, 230 runs this year across 2 accounts... and no bear for me.

Kinda sucks that peeps run like 50 runs and then get one, wtf makes them so special...

Oh well. It's almost Wintersday again.

Odinius · Jan 05, 2010, 04:32 PM // 16:32

lol same here, hope next year we'll be playing GW2 so I can stop thinking about that bear

The Arching Healer · Jan 05, 2010, 04:38 PM // 16:38

Quote:

Originally Posted by byteme!

I did 60ish runs, got my MPB and stopped. Btw farming sucks. If you can convince me you can make 2k per minute consistently I'm game. That means not relying on the odd weekend events or luck of a random fluke drop. It needs to be practical and realistic. If it ain't reproducible it ain't worth it's weight in gold and you don't know what you're talking about.

PvP

12charzz

Reformed · Jan 05, 2010, 04:52 PM // 16:52

Quote:

Originally Posted by The Arching Healer

PvP
12charzz

He wrote "ANY farming", emphasis his. Think about it...can you really reliably make 2k/min in PvP year round? People do play GW upwards of 10 hours a day and that would be an easy million a day even if you took breaks.

Also, sitting away in a town and providing a service are not the same thing as loot/gold gathering. No need to break out the Merriam-Webster here either.

MithranArkanere · Jan 05, 2010, 06:18 PM // 18:18

I got one, but it wasn't polar, but bi-polar. So it got angry over something stupid and ran away.
This days everyone's crazy.

Operative 14 · Jan 05, 2010, 06:20 PM // 18:20

Didn't get my MPB, but I did make 90k worth of Candy Cane Shards from doing some casual farming throughout the event. Which is about 85k more than I thought I'd get at the start, so that was a loverly surprise.

Polgara Val · Dec 18, 2010, 03:28 PM // 15:28

My shameless bump to resurrect my old drop rate thread for the mini polar bear from last year. Lets see if we can keep tabs on any drops this year ladies and gents. Good luck!

Pol

Necro Quink · Dec 18, 2010, 03:33 PM // 15:33

Quote:

Originally Posted by Polgara Val

My shameless bump to resurrect my old drop rate thread for the mini polar bear from last year. Lets see if we can keep tabs on any drops this year ladies and gents. Good luck!

Pol

I've had one dropped for me this morning. Only did 4 runs to get him this year

. I'm so glad I got him, this way I can spend more time doing other things than just do the quests over and over again.

Screenshot is posted here

http://www.guildwarsguru.com/forum/s...postcount=1280