Jul 25, 2008, 04:03 PM // 16:03
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#1
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Frost Gate Guardian
Join Date: May 2008
Guild: Order Of the Pheonix
Profession: Mo/
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Armbrace vs Coffer of wispers
Not sure if this is the right place to post this thread...
Anyhow I was wondering what you guys though about this. So you need 60 gems to get an armbrace or 15 coffers. So in 15 coffers what are the odds of getting a mini malyx or an armbrace? is it like a ridiculously low percentage, like one out of a thousand chance? Or are the odds pretty good? just wondering because if you only got one armbrace or mini + the other items from the coffers, that just seems like a better deal than just one armbrace for your gems.
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Jul 25, 2008, 04:12 PM // 16:12
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#2
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Krytan Explorer
Join Date: Nov 2007
Guild: Fuzzies Anonymous [Fuzy]
Profession: Mo/
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Jul 25, 2008, 04:19 PM // 16:19
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#3
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WTB q8 15^50 Weapons!
Join Date: Nov 2006
Guild: アoo アugs アlan [ァアァ]
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So from 1000 coffers you would get 16 arms/minis and 1000 coffers ~12000k
16arms / minis ~4500k
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Jul 25, 2008, 04:33 PM // 16:33
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#4
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Frost Gate Guardian
Join Date: May 2008
Guild: Order Of the Pheonix
Profession: Mo/
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lol ok pretty low chance... much safer to just trade in the gems for an armbrace.
Thanks for the info
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Jul 25, 2008, 05:59 PM // 17:59
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#5
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Frost Gate Guardian
Join Date: Jun 2008
Profession: Mo/
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The first time I bought a coffer I got a mini mallyx. I thought I was super lucky so I bought a bunch more. Lots of gold wasted I can say without a doubt do not buy/open coffers.
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Jul 26, 2008, 09:23 AM // 09:23
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#6
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Desert Nomad
Join Date: Oct 2007
Location: Beertown ;P
Guild: RoP
Profession: E/Mo
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Before
After
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Jul 26, 2008, 08:45 PM // 20:45
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#7
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Academy Page
Join Date: Jul 2007
Location: Kamandan AD1
Guild: Zealots Of Shiverpeak
Profession: Rt/
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Just buy what you want with the money from gems/gem sets or trade for armbrace. Unless you like gambling...As simples as that
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Jul 29, 2008, 12:16 AM // 00:16
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#8
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Krytan Explorer
Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: You should know
Profession: W/
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Quote:
Originally Posted by ashes
Before
After
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I see a mini mallyx there and enough stones for at least 1 brace
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Jul 29, 2008, 02:24 AM // 02:24
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#9
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Krytan Explorer
Join Date: Nov 2007
Guild: Fuzzies Anonymous [Fuzy]
Profession: Mo/
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Quote:
Originally Posted by farmerfez
I see a mini mallyx there and enough stones for at least 1 brace
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yeah and with the gems he needed to get 60 coffer he could have gotten 4 armbraces
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Jul 30, 2008, 05:26 PM // 17:26
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#10
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Lion's Arch Merchant
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Minnesota
Guild: [OhNo]
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If you are only after the armbrace then you are generally better off trading the gems in directly for an armbrace.
At 1.6% success rate, 15 sets of gems would give you about 21.5% change of getting at least 1 armbrace, or 78.5% chance of not getting one at all.
There is some value in the other items, so the value is not dismal, and if you like gambling have some fun, but the house will likely win.
Doing a thorough value analysis based on the probability given in the above link and some assumed value of coffer rewards the value of the coffers overall is not terrible. For example given that a gem set cost 12K and some current prices of gems, collectables, etc., the reward value offered by the coffer is pretty close to the cost of the gems, 12K x 15 = 180K. The value of big ticket items, such as the Mallyx Mini and the Armbrace and to a lesser extent the gems, will influence this value relationship.
Specific Case:
Reward 15 Value
5 Margonite Gemstones: 24/315 | ~ 7.6% 15
5 Torment Gemstones: 21/315 | ~ 6.7% 10
5 Titan Gemstones: 26/315 | ~ 8.3% 25
5 Stygian Gemstones: 18/315 | ~ 5.7% 10
1 Armbrace of Truth: 5/315 | ~ 1.6% 160
5 Keys: 11/315 | ~ 3.5% 6.25
5 Diamonds: 8/315 | ~ 2.5% 5
5 Elixirs of Valor: 88/315 | ~27.9% 0.25
1 Mallyx Mini: 5/315 | ~ 1.6% 175
5 Rubies: 9/315 | ~ 2.9% 15
5 Sapphires: 19/315 | ~ 6.0% 15
5 Scroll of the Lightbringer: 77/315 | ~24.4% 0.25
1 Primeval Armor Remnant 21/315 | ~ 6.7% 5
Gem Set Cost 12k x 15 = 180k
The Expected Value of 15 Coffers from this would yield 179.4K. So on average if you bought and sold everything for the values I showed, you would come close to break even on average.
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Jul 31, 2008, 06:41 PM // 18:41
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#11
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Jungle Guide
Join Date: Jun 2005
Location: California
Guild: Shiverpeaks Search And Rescue [Lost]
Profession: Me/
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i've opened roughly 40 coffers. got 1 mallyx, no armbrace, tons of elixers of valor (but i use them for vanquishing and such so i don't mind).
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Aug 01, 2008, 04:47 PM // 16:47
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#12
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Lion's Arch Merchant
Join Date: Oct 2006
Location: Minnesota
Guild: [OhNo]
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For roughly 40 coffers, you would have about a 50:50 chance of getting at least 1 armbrace (47.5% given p=1.6%).
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Aug 07, 2008, 07:31 AM // 07:31
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#13
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Wilds Pathfinder
Join Date: Feb 2007
Location: Disconnect the fascination
Guild: LF High End PvE Guild that's not filled with elitists.
Profession: R/
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In the time since the coffers of whispers have came out I've opened well over a stack myself and only have gotten one mallyx and two armbraces thus far, I've semi broken even I'd say on gems, but, it's totally not worth it to sink money or hard earned gems into it imo, i've only traded in ones that i was rewarded for completion by zhellix, and thats what made it semi worth it in the end.
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Aug 12, 2008, 11:49 PM // 23:49
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#14
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Lion's Arch Merchant
Join Date: Nov 2007
Location: HELL!!
Profession: D/Mo
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i was extremely lucky in 7 coffers i got a mini mallyyx and an armbrace
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Aug 16, 2008, 10:26 AM // 10:26
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#15
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Academy Page
Join Date: Oct 2007
Profession: Mo/
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I'd have to agree, coffers are a waste of money. Used over 20 sets, no armbraces or mallyx. But I have 35 Exlixors of Valor! Oh wait, they're useless junk, since EotN. Oh well...
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